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Serie A, the latest verdicts according to the data: Scudetto to Napoli, Juve in the Champions League and Lecce in Serie B

With ninety minutes left in the championship, there is still a lot at stake: from the tricolor, to Europe and, of course, the fight for survival.

After what happened during the last matchday, it is not advisable to go too far. And yes, because the unexpected brace from Pedro , who had remained on the bench until shortly before, has put things right in extremis for a  Napoli that seems to have stumbled right at the most beautiful moment.

Without the two goals scored against Inter by the Spanish striker of Lazio , in fact, the Azzurri would, today, have one point less and not one more than the Nerazzurri. A huge advantage when there are only 90 minutes left until the end of the championship, which is also confirmed by the probabilities that the Opta simulator assigns to Antonio Conte ‘s team  of proclaiming themselves champions of Italy.

The top of the Serie A table

According to the numbers, in fact, Di Lorenzo and his teammates have an 85% chance of winning what would be the fourth Scudetto in the history of the Campania club, which would come just two years after the 2023 triumph which saw Luciano Spalletti on the bench and the Kvara-Osi duo on the pitch as the main protagonists .

Well, they all left and despite this, Antonio Conte managed to bring Napoli back to the top, who tonight hosts  Cagliari at the Maradona, while Inter are awaited in Como by Cesc Fàbregas’ terrible boys.

Champions League and salvation, crossed destinies

As far as the Champions League is concerned , however, the same small but great advantage of one point held by Juventus over Roma makes the black and white club (71%) the main candidate to get their hands on fourth place.

The data gives the Giallorossi a 24% chance, while Lazio, despite last weekend’s draw at San Siro, have a paltry 4% chance of bringing the anthem of the top continental competition back to the Biancoceleste side of the Tiber.

While Roma (who have a 52% chance of playing in the next edition of the Europa League ) are waiting for the away match against Torino , who have very little to ask of their championship, the fate of the Biancocelesti (who, for their part, have a 54% chance of going to the Conference ) and the Bianconeri will cross paths with that of two teams fighting to avoid relegation.

And it is precisely for this reason that, according to the Opta simulator , Lecce (54%) and Venezia (94%) will accompany Monza in Serie B , while Empoli (39%) and Parma (75%), playing against Verona (at home) and Atalanta (away) respectively , should manage to maintain their place in the category.

The fight for salvation

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